A Predictive Model for Evaluating Mobile Number Portability in Nigeria

International Journal of Computer Trends and Technology (IJCTT)          
© 2015 by IJCTT Journal
Volume-29 Number-3
Year of Publication : 2015
Authors : Odii Juliet N, Ejiofor V.E, Osuagwu O.E


Odii Juliet N, Ejiofor V.E, Osuagwu O.E "A Predictive Model for Evaluating Mobile Number Portability in Nigeria". International Journal of Computer Trends and Technology (IJCTT) V29(3):142-149, November 2015. ISSN:2231-2803. www.ijcttjournal.org. Published by Seventh Sense Research Group.

Abstract -
Mobile Number Portability (MNP) is not necessarily a new development in the mobile Telecommunications industry as it has been in existence since its initial implementation in Singapore in 1990. This novel technology was launched in Nigeria in 2013 and was expected to improve the quality of service by deepening competition among telecom service providers by but has unfortunately failed to produce the desired impact due to some restrictions as identified in this research. The objective of this research therefore is to design a predictive model that simulates the behaviour of these restrictive policies on MNP so as to ascertain their current impact on the non expansion of MNP adoption in Nigeria and also assess the future possibility of MNP expansion if government decides to retain the restrictions, improve on those restrictions, and also if the restrictions get worse. The methodologies that were deployed in packaging the model include the statistical methodology, Structured Systems Analysis and design Methodology (SSADM), Object Oriented Design Methodology (OODM) and prototyping. A model called Mobile Number Portability Growth Trend Trajectory Simulator/Predictor(MNPGTTS) was developed using Visual Basic.Net version 10 and Microsoft Access as the DBMS engine. The MNPGTTS is capable of forecasting the impact of the MNP restrictions in the next 10-50 years. The MNPGTTS model was test run using the beta coefficients derived from SPSS multiple regressions and ANOVA of collected field data as our indices and later adjusted values of the indices were plugged into the program that enabled us assess the future possibility of MNP expansion. The result demonstrated that if government still allows the existing restrictions, subscribers may not be motivated to port. Also that if government can remove or improve on most of the restrictions towards the adoption of MNP in Nigeria, MNP will receive a boost in terms of patronage, and should government further stiffen the restrictions, MNP will totally collapse.

[1] A. Adekunle (2013):” Nigeria: Mobile Number Portability Now live”.Retrieved from http//www.allafrica.com/view/group/main/ main/id/ 00024116.html 20th Oct 2013.
[2] F.K. Atiya (2010): “Mobile Number Portability: Challenges and Solutions”. Journal of Emerging Trends in Computing and Information Sciences ©2010-11 CIS Journal. Volume 2 Special Issue ISSN 2079-8407 http://www.cisjournal.org.
[3] S. Buehler and J. Haucap (2003): “Mobile Number Portability” Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, No. 17,pp 223-238.
[4] F. Khan, (2012):”Mobile Number Portability; Challenges and Solutions” Journal of Emerging Trends in Computing and Information Sciences©2010-11 CIS, vol. 3, No.4, ISSN 2079- 8407.
[5] P. Maicas. , Y. Polo and J. Sese. (2009): “Mobile Number Portability in Europe”: International Review of Economics & Finance-INT REV ECON FINANC, Vol. 18, No. 4, pp. 611- 623. Retrieved on Dec 2012
[6] T.K. Muchiri .(2011): “The Consequences of Mobile Number Portability in Kenya and its Usage Factors”. School of Business, University of Nairobi. Retrieved from This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. on March 16th 2012.
[7] I.U. Nnochiri and K.C. Okafor 2014): “A Conceptual Framework on User Perspective on Factors of Quality of Service (QoS) for Mobile SIM Networks”. International Journal of Wireless Communications, Networking and Mobile Computing. Vol. 1, No. 4, 2014, pp. 29- 42. Available online on (http://www.aascit.org/journal/wcnmc 20th June 2015
[8] D.H. Shin and W.Y. Kim (2007): “Mobile Number Portability on Consumer Switching Behavior”: in Case of the Korean Mobile Market.” Emerald Group Publishing Ltd Vol. 9 No. 4 pp 38-54 Available: http://www.Emerald insight. com/journals.htm? articleid =1611307 &sho [Retrieved March 2, 2012].
[9] O.A. Tiamiyu and O.V. Mejabi, (2012): “Evaluation of Subscriber Attitude to Mobile Number Portability Implementation in Nigeria”. VOL.3, NO. 4, Journal of Emerging Trends in Computing and Information Sciences ©2009-2012 CIS Journal. Retrieved Sept 13th 2013.
[10] P. Xavier, (2008): “Fostering Competition in Thailand’s Telecommunications Sector”. Emerald Group Publishing Limited, VOL. 10 NO.1, ISSN 1463-6697, 79-96.

MNP, Subscriber, Service Provider, Donor Network, Recipient Network.