A Review of Machine Learning Based Approaches for Solar Irradiation Forecasting |
||
|
|
|
© 2024 by IJCTT Journal | ||
Volume-72 Issue-11 |
||
Year of Publication : 2024 | ||
Authors : Vaibhav Mani Tripathi, D. A. Mehta | ||
DOI : 10.14445/22312803/IJCTT-V72I11P109 |
How to Cite?
Vaibhav Mani Tripathi, D. A. Mehta, "A Review of Machine Learning Based Approaches for Solar Irradiation Forecasting," International Journal of Computer Trends and Technology, vol. 72, no. 11, pp. 83-91, 2024. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.14445/22312803/IJCTT-V72I11P109
Abstract
The need to swiftly migrate towards renewable and clean energy sources such as solar power has been garnering a lot importance over the last two decades due to the energy crisis and global warming. Because of the abundance of sites with strong irradiation, investments in these technologies have surged. Nevertheless, more adaptable and dependable energy production is required due to the intermittent character of solar radiation. Traditional technology is relied upon by energy system operators to fulfill grid demands. More widespread use of renewable generators requires precise estimates of future solar irradiation trends. Recent literature has employed various methods to predict renewable energy output based on historical data. Notably, solar irradiation prediction using data-driven models has gained attention. However, machine learning models face challenges due to the significant variation in solar irradiation, including periods of zero irradiation during the night. Several machine learning and deep learning models have been employed to forecast such volatile trends in solar irradiation. These models are CSVR, LSTM, Bi-LSTM, GRU, Bi-GRU, CNN-LSTM, ADHDP-Based Neural Networks, SVM, ANN, and ANFIS. Data filtering methodologies extensively used are averaging filtering, such as mean and median filters, or filtration in the transform domain, such as the DWT. Thus, the necessity of data filtration and pre processing has also been exemplified. This paper provides a comprehensive review of existing techniques in this domain, intending to highlight the salient features of contemporary work, which would allow researchers to gauge the strengths and weaknesses of existing approaches and decide upon the appropriate data-driven models for future enhancements in the domain, which happens to be the major advantage of this research work.
Keywords
Machine Learning, Deep Learning, Solar Irradiation Forecasting, Data Pre-Processing, Data Optimization, Performance Metrics.
Reference
[1] Benjamin Kroposki, and Andy Hoke, “A Path to 100 Percent Renewable Energy: Grid-Forming Inverters will Give Us the Grid We Need Now,” IEEE Spectrum, vol. 61, no. 5, pp. 50-57, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[2] Md Kashif Gohar Deshmukh et al., “Renewable Energy in the 21st Century: A Review,” Materials Today Proceedings, vol. 80, no. 3, pp. 1756-1759, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[3] Md. Shafiul Alam et al., “High-Level Penetration of Renewable Energy Sources Into Grid Utility: Challenges and Solutions,” IEEE Access, vol. 8, pp. 190277-190299, 2020.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[4] Pranoy Roy et al., “Recent Advances of Wind-Solar Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems for Power Generation: A Review,” IEEE Open Journal of the Industrial Electronics Society, vol. 3, pp. 81-104, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[5] Meftah Elsaraiti, and Adel Merabet, “Solar Power Forecasting Using Deep Learning Techniques,” IEEE Access, vol. 10, pp. 31692-31698, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[6] Ahmed I. Osman et al., “Cost, Environmental Impact, and Resilience of Renewable Energy under A Changing Climate: A Review,” Environmental Chemistry Letters, vol. 21, pp. 741-764, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[7] Muamar Mohamed et al., “Dynamic Forecasting of Solar Energy Microgrid Systems Using Feature Engineering,” IEEE Transactions on Industry Applications, vol. 58, no. 6, pp. 7857-7869, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[8] Jwaone Gaboitaolelwe et al., “Machine Learning Based Solar Photovoltaic Power Forecasting: A Review and Comparison,” IEEE Access, vol. 11, pp. 40820-40845, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[9] Rami Al-Hajj, Ali Assi, and Mohamad M. Fouad, “Stacking-Based Ensemble of Support Vector Regressors for One-Day Ahead Solar Irradiance Prediction,” 2019 8th International Conference on Renewable Energy Research and Applications (ICRERA), Brasov, Romania, pp. 428-433, 2019.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[10] Mohamed Abdel-Nasser, Karar Mahmoud, and Matti Lehtonen, “Reliable Solar Irradiance Forecasting Approach Based on Choquet Integral and Deep LSTMs,” IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, vol. 17, no. 3, pp. 1873-1881, 2021.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[11] Chibuzor N. Obiora et al., “Forecasting Hourly Solar Radiation Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques,” IEEE Canadian Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering, vol. 44, no. 4, pp. 497-508, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[12] V. Prema et al., “Critical Review of Data, Models and Performance Metrics for Wind and Solar Power Forecast,” IEEE Access, vol. 10, pp. 667-688, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[13] Abdelaziz Rabehi, Mawloud Guermoui, and Djemoui Lalmi, “Hybrid Models for Global Solar Radiation Prediction: A Case Study,” International Journal of Ambient Energy, vol. 41, no. 1, pp. 31-40, 2020.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[14] Sreenu Sreekumar, Kailash Chand Sharma, and Rohit Bhakar, “Optimized Support Vector Regression Models for Short Term Solar Radiation Forecasting in Smart Environment,” 2016 IEEE Region 10 Conference (TENCON), Singapore, pp. 1929-1932, 2016.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[15] Punam Pawar, Nadarajah Mithulananthan, and Muhammad Qamar Raza, “Solar PV Power Forecasting Using Modified SVR with Gauss Newton Method,” 2020 2nd Global Power, Energy and Communication Conference (GPECOM), Izmir, Turkey, pp. 226-231, 2020.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[16] Ahmad Alzahrani et al., “Solar Irradiance Forecasting Using Deep Neural Networks,” Procedia Computer Science, vol. 114, pp. 304-313, 2017.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[17] Woonghee Lee et al., “Forecasting Solar Power Using Long-Short Term Memory and Convolutional Neural Networks,” IEEE Access, vol. 6, pp. 73068-73080, 2018.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[18] Edgar Galván, and Peter Mooney, “Neuroevolution in Deep Neural Networks: Current Trends and Future Challenges,” IEEE Transactions on Artificial Intelligence, vol. 2, no. 6, pp. 476-493, 2021.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[19] Wojciech Samek et al., “Explaining Deep Neural Networks and Beyond: A Review of Methods and Applications,” Proceedings of the IEEE, vol. 109, no. 3, pp. 247-278, 2021.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[20] Maria Luísa Lopes De Faria, Carlos Eduardo Cugnasca, and José Roberto Almeida Amazonas, “Insights Into IoT Data and an Innovative DWT-Based Technique to Denoise Sensor Signals,” IEEE Sensors Journal, vol. 18, no. 1, pp. 237-247, 2018.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[21] Yansun Xu et al., “Wavelet Transform Domain Filters: A Spatially Selective Noise Filtration Technique,” IEEE Transactions on Image Processing, vol. 3, no. 6, pp. 747-758, 1994.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[22] Zhenfang Hu et al., “Sparse Principal Component Analysis via Rotation and Truncation,” IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems, vol. 27, no. 4, pp. 875-890, 2016.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[23] Sujan Ghimire et al., “Hybrid Deep CNN-SVR Algorithm for Solar Radiation Prediction Problems in Queensland, Australia,” Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, vol. 112, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[24] Garazi Etxegarai et al., “An Analysis of Different Deep Learning Neural Networks for Intra-Hour Solar Irradiation Forecasting to Compute Solar Photovoltaic Generators' Energy Production,” Energy for Sustainable Development, vol. 68, pp. 1-17, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[25] Cícero Manoel dos Santos et al., “Prediction of Solar Direct Beam Transmittance Derived From Global Irradiation and Sunshine Duration Using Anfis,” International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, vol. 46, no. 55, pp. 27905-27921, 2021.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[26] Cong Li et al., “Hourly Solar Irradiance Prediction Using Deep BiLSTM Network,” Earth Science Informatics, vol. 14, pp. 299–309, 2021.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[27] Sahbi Boubaker et al., “Deep Neural Networks for Predicting Solar Radiation at Hail Region, Saudi Arabia,” IEEE Access, vol. 9, pp. 36719-36729, 2021.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[28] Yunjun Yu, Junfei Cao, and Jianyong Zhu, “An LSTM Short-Term Solar Irradiance Forecasting Under Complicated Weather Conditions,” IEEE Access, vol. 7, pp. 145651-145666, 2019.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[29] Seyed Mohammad Jafar Jalali et al., “Automated Deep CNN-LSTM Architecture Design for Solar Irradiance Forecasting,” IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems, vol. 52, no. 1, pp. 54-65, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[30] Ilhami Colak et al., “Multi-period Prediction of Solar Radiation Using ARMA and ARIMA Models,” 2015 IEEE 14th International Conference on Machine Learning and Applications (ICMLA), Miami, FL, USA, pp. 1045-1049, 2015.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[31] Sergiu-Mihai Hategan, Nicoleta Stefu, and Marius Paulescu, “Calibration of GFS Solar Irradiation Forecasts: A Case Study in Romania,” Energies, vol. 16, no. 11, pp. 1-11, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[32] Madderla Chiranjeevi et al., “Solar Irradiation Forecast Enhancement Using Hybrid Architecture,” 2023 5th International Conference on Energy, Power and Environment: Towards Flexible Green Energy Technologies (ICEPE), Shillong, India, pp. 1-6, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[33] O.M. Babatunde et al., “A Critical Overview of the (Im) Practicability of Solar Radiation Forecasting Models,” e-Prime - Advances in Electrical Engineering, Electronics and Energy, vol. 5, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]